After yesterday’s unfortunate abandonment of the match between Gujarat Titans (GT) and Kolkata Knight Riders (KKR), GT finds themselves officially eliminated from the tournament for the first time in their three-year IPL history. Remarkably, GT had reached the final in the past two seasons, winning the first and losing the second to the MS Dhoni-led Chennai Super Kings. With this unexpected turn, GT joins the ranks of the joint most successful team, the Mumbai Indians, and the Punjab Kings in being eliminated from contention. However, it’s worth noting that the Kolkata Knight Riders have already secured qualification and a top-two spot on the points table, thus not included in this discussion, leaving six teams in contention.
Chennai Super Kings:
After yesterday’s match, the Ruturaj Gaikwad-led Chennai Super Kings (CSK) still maintain a solid 67.6% chance of qualifying for the playoffs. CSK boasts an impressive run rate of +0.528, which positions them favorably. However, securing a playoff berth hinges on their upcoming clash against Royal Challengers Bangalore (RCB) on May 18th, which, if won, would elevate them to 16 points. Should Rajasthan Royals (RR) lose both their remaining matches and Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH) falter in at least one of their next two games, CSK could potentially finish second. Even in the scenario of a loss to RCB, it’s imperative for CSK to keep the match close, as this would result in a tie with RCB at 14 points, with RCB retaining the fifth position due to a superior net run rate (NRR). However, Lucknow Super Giants (LSG) also pose a threat to CSK’s playoff aspirations. If CSK loses to RCB and LSG triumphs in their remaining fixtures, the final four playoff spots are likely to be occupied by Kolkata Knight Riders (KKR), RR, SRH, and LSG. Yet, if both SRH and LSG reach 14 points, it opens the door for both CSK and RCB to secure playoff berths, culminating in a potential CSK vs. RCB eliminator match.
Delhi Capitals:
After their recent defeat to Royal Challengers Bangalore (RCB), the Delhi Capitals face an uphill battle to secure a playoff berth, with their chances dwindling to a mere 0.3%. Their path to qualification now demands nothing short of a miracle. To stand a chance, they must secure a convincing victory against Lucknow Super Giants (LSG) today, while also relying on misfortune for Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH) in their next two fixtures. Additionally, they require specific outcomes in other matches, including a victory for Chennai Super Kings (CSK) over RCB and maintaining a superior net run rate (NRR) compared to LSG. SRH’s losses must accumulate to a combined margin of 150 runs, while Delhi Capitals must secure their win against LSG by a significant margin of 64 runs. In essence, the fate of the Delhi Capitals now lies in the hands of several other teams, making their qualification prospects highly uncertain.
Lucknow Super Giants:
The Lucknow Super Giants find themselves with a modest 15.6% chance of securing a playoff berth, facing an uphill battle due to their abysmal net run rate (NRR) standing at -0.769. Their qualification hopes hinge on reaching the 16-point mark in the league standings, yet even this may not guarantee them a spot in the playoffs given their poor NRR. To improve their chances, they must secure convincing victories against their remaining opponents and hope for favorable outcomes in other matches. Additionally, they rely on Chennai Super Kings losing to Royal Challengers Bangalore to bolster their qualification prospects. Despite the odds stacked against them, the Lucknow Super Giants remain determined to defy expectations and secure their place in the playoffs.
Royal Challengers Bengeluru:
Well what the Royal Challengers have a been on a roll, 5 on 5, they have beat every team, and pretty convincingly. They were ruled out of the tournament pretty early after that disaster of a start they had. Now, from nothing they now have a 32.5% chance of qualifying to playoffs and are sitting at 5th place. However, they can max get to 14 points, and to do that they have to beat CSK in their last leage game of the season, and if they score above 200 they have to beat CSK by atleast 18 runs or more, to go above them on NRR, but if CSK beat them, even by the smallest of margins, RCB are out of the 2024 Tata IPL. And apart from that they also have to hope that LSG doesn’t win both their matches, because even if LSG win one of their matches RCB will still be ahead of them with NRR. If both SRH and LSG lose both their remaining matches, both CSK and RCB will be in the Top 4.
Rajastan Royals:
The Rajasthan Royals have enjoyed one of their best starts in IPL history, currently occupying the 2nd position with 16 points and two matches remaining. Despite a recent dip in form, having lost three consecutive matches, RR remains in a comfortable position and with a win are likely to secure a top-two finish. With just one more win needed to seal their playoff berth, the team boasts an impressive 99.8% chance of qualifying for the playoffs.
Sunrisers Hyderabad:
SRH has experienced fluctuations in their position, moving between 3rd, 4th, and 5th places. However, a victory in their upcoming matches would almost certainly secure them a spot in the top 4. With a healthy Net Run Rate (NRR) and 14 points, they remain in a strong position. They have two matches remaining against GT and PBKS, both eliminated teams playing for pride. SRH’s impressive qualifying percentage stands at 84.2%, and if they win both matches, they could even finish in the top 2 due to their NRR.
Well, those are the six teams that still have a chance to qualify following the abandonment of Match No. 63 between the Gujarat Titans and Kolkata Knight Riders due to rain. Hope you enjoyed reading about their prospects and the potential scenarios for the playoffs.
Until Next Time!
Thank you.
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